Does Vinicius waste too many good chances?
Here is the claim as it travelled online: Does Vinicius waste too many good chances?. It sounds decisive. The data says otherwise — or at least, not yet.
A sharper question
"Does Vinicius waste too many good chances?" is not testable as written. The workable version is: Is Vinicius scoring fewer goals than his xG by a margin bigger than a normal cold streak? "Wasteful" is a feeling; the measurable version is whether his goals trail his xG by more than short-run variance explains.
What we actually measured
To answer that, we tracked shots, goals, conversion, xg, xg_per_shot, shots on target.
What the numbers show
Vinicius: 20 shots, 3 goals (15.0% conversion), 3.6 xG, 0.18 xG/shot.
Volume vs. efficiency
Raw shot totals and conversion rate side by side.
Shot quality
xG per shot approximates how good the chances actually were.
It's not that simple
Vinicius is scoring below their xG (-0.60), which looks like underperformance more than bad shot selection.
The strongest defensible verdict
The volume or pattern behind the claim can be demonstrated, but a judgement about quality or intent requires evidence beyond the headline number.